A #1 next year too. Two #2s. A starting WR. Maybe they thought that was as good as they were gonna get. Anyone from top 5 prolly wouldn’t give up so much to move to #1 and not sure anyone outside of top 5 is really all that interested in moving up to that top pick. .
The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Last edited by Navybuc on Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
I think maybe Panthers went out on Lamar because they had this lined up. If the Bears made them wait the Panthers could've gone back to Lamar and kept DJ.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Maybe? Sure. I think otherwise. Obviously, we’ll never know. I’m convinced the Bears jumped the gun.Navybuc wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:21 pmA #1 next year too. Two #2s. A starting WR. Maybe they thought that was as good as they were gonna get. Anyone from top 5 prolly wouldn’t give up so much to move to #1 and not sure anyone outside of top 5 is really all that interested in moving up to that top pick. .
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Anyone who moves within top 5 prolly offers up a #1 next year and #2. So basically Chicago got an extra #2 and a starting WR by going back a few more spots. I don’t know for sure, but I would assume they inquired from other teams outside top 5 their interest.Buc2 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:24 pmMaybe? Sure. I think otherwise. Obviously, we’ll never know. I’m convinced the Bears jumped the gun.Navybuc wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:21 pm
A #1 next year too. Two #2s. A starting WR. Maybe they thought that was as good as they were gonna get. Anyone from top 5 prolly wouldn’t give up so much to move to #1 and not sure anyone outside of top 5 is really all that interested in moving up to that top pick. .
But you’re right…they may have jumped the gun. We’ll never know.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
They absolutely jumped the gun. Like you said, it's March 10th. A full month and a half away from the draft.Buc2 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:24 pmMaybe? Sure. I think otherwise. Obviously, we’ll never know. I’m convinced the Bears jumped the gun.Navybuc wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:21 pm
A #1 next year too. Two #2s. A starting WR. Maybe they thought that was as good as they were gonna get. Anyone from top 5 prolly wouldn’t give up so much to move to #1 and not sure anyone outside of top 5 is really all that interested in moving up to that top pick. .
Smart GM stirs the pot. Make people think it's possible that you don't believe in Fields and could take a QB. Make this move AFTER FA has began and teams start missing out on QBs because they are waiting on the Bears. They'll get desperate and start offering more compensation because they NEED that pick.
Chicago essentially bid with themselves here way too early.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
That's would make this a bad trade. They shouldn't be inquiring about anything at all. Sit back and let teams call you. 1st time you dial a number you're already lowering the value of the pick.Navybuc wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:28 pmAnyone who moves within top 5 prolly offers up a #1 next year and #2. So basically Chicago got an extra #2 and a starting WR by going back a few more spots. I don’t know for sure, but I would assume they inquired from other teams outside top 5 their interest.
But you’re right…they may have jumped the gun. We’ll never know.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
That’s what I’m saying! Why do this now? At least wait til after the 15th and see what shakes.Bootz wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:29 pmThey absolutely jumped the gun. Like you said, it's March 10th. A full month and a half away from the draft.
Smart GM stirs the pot. Make people think it's possible that you don't believe in Fields and could take a QB. Make this move AFTER FA has began and teams start missing out on QBs because they are waiting on the Bears. They'll get desperate and start offering more compensation because they NEED that pick.
Chicago essentially bid with themselves here way too early.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Two #1s, 2 #2s AND a starting WR. I just don’t think anyone else is going to give up much more than that. That’s just my two cents. This isn’t Draft Day where a team is dumb enough to give up 3 #1s. Not only that, I don’t think a lot of teams are that impressed with this qb class. This isn’t 2021. 2024 is much better. Teams aren’t going to overpay for one of these guys.Bootz wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:30 pmThat's would make this a bad trade. They shouldn't be inquiring about anything at all. Sit back and let teams call you. 1st time you dial a number you're already lowering the value of the pick.Navybuc wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:28 pm
Anyone who moves within top 5 prolly offers up a #1 next year and #2. So basically Chicago got an extra #2 and a starting WR by going back a few more spots. I don’t know for sure, but I would assume they inquired from other teams outside top 5 their interest.
But you’re right…they may have jumped the gun. We’ll never know.
I think Houston and Indy are the only other teams who I think would move up but they need the picks and aren’t going to give up the farm to move to #1. I think Atl wants to give Ridder a shot while keeping an eye on the Lamar situation. Jets are getting AR. Vegas wants Jimmy G. Things are falling into place…except for us.
The more I look at it, the more I think this was prolly as good as deal as Chicago would have gotten. This isn’t a great qb class where a lot of teams are going to overpay to move to 1.
Last edited by Navybuc on Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:41 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Carolina is gonna show Chicago how it's done.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Let's try to make the deal the Panthers made more personal: Are we happy if we traded to 2 #1s 2 #2s and Mike Evans to be at 1?
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
If we were utterly convinced one of these QBs was a HOF type talent. Sure.BucsNBills wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 6:42 pm Let's try to make the deal the Panthers made more personal: Are we happy if we traded to 2 #1s 2 #2s and Mike Evans to be at 1?
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Yep! Now the Panthers have a chance to milk that spot. If they don’t get something worth trading for, they keep the pick. Regardless, I’m sure they’ll wait past the 15th before doing anything stupid like the Bears just did.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
A lot in the media praising the Bears. Greg Olsen said they got better end of deal. Damien Woody called it a slam dunk.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/
USA Today also giving them an A on the move.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/
USA Today also giving them an A on the move.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Yeah. That’s pretty much all I’m seeing.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Media is definitely gonna milk this narrative and praise the leagues 3rd largest market.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Don’t forget they’re also getting DJ Moore who is only 25 years old. He’s the equivalent to a low end #1 or high end #2. You could argue the Bears are getting 3 #1s out of this and two #2s depending on your opinion of Moore. And now Carolina has a thin WR corps all of a sudden.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
DJ Moore is an overachieving, overpaid slot receiver. Stacked up against the other WRs in football, he's probably top 25 or 30. But there's a reason people are STILL talking DeAndre Hopkins.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
It will.Buc2 wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 5:47 pmAs a Bucs fan, I hope this blows up in their face.
https://www.witn.com/2023/03/10/panther ... nfl-draft/
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
The Rams is thinking about to trade Stafford?
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_ ... tid=ncKXMA
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_ ... tid=ncKXMA
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
They isPhantom wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:39 pm The Rams is thinking about to trade Stafford?
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_ ... tid=ncKXMA
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
That’s insane!! Baker Mayfield? ReallyBootz wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:52 pmThey isPhantom wrote: ↑Fri Mar 10, 2023 7:39 pm The Rams is thinking about to trade Stafford?
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_ ... tid=ncKXMA
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Houston might be worried that Indy will now offer a trade to Carolina. That could force Houston to trade their pick plus other picks to Carolina. Carolina could make another move and still get the QB they really want.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Yes, you know that. I know that. They know that. But they don't need to let the NFL world know that on March 10th. They are doing their due diligence with the pick. Build up some mystery. Maybe the Raiders or Colts or Texans give an offer that can't be refused.
You only do this if you know you got the #1 pick for a bargain. Now they can flip it and still probably get more than they gave Chicago.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
This effectively kills the pipe dream of us somehow landing Bryce Young. He’s not making it past Houston, and Carolina isn’t giving us the #1 pick.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Wow. I know there's no Trevor Lawrence level QB in this class, but to drop back that far six weeks before the draft, and to walk away with that little...this feels fairly dreadful for the Bears. Of course, all that will end up mattering is what each team does with their respective picks.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Panthers won't trade back. You do a move like this for your franchise QB, not to settle on left overs. You pick your guy.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Agree. Especially when they frankly got a great deal in the first place. They still have #39, #93, #114, #132, and #145 this year. They also have a good deal of cap space ($23 mil as I type this) and frankly, with the exception of the skill positions, they have the strongest roster in the division.
In other words, this is not the time for them to get cute.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Interesting. They got 2 firsts (and are still in the top 10), 2 seconds, and a young vet WR that would probably net at least a second if he were traded individually.MJW wrote: ↑Sat Mar 11, 2023 12:22 am Wow. I know there's no Trevor Lawrence level QB in this class, but to drop back that far six weeks before the draft, and to walk away with that little...this feels fairly dreadful for the Bears. Of course, all that will end up mattering is what each team does with their respective picks.
I think it’s a haul for the Bears.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
According to @JayGlazer, the Packers offered Carolina their 2023 Round 1 pick for D.J. Moore in November. Carolina declined.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
These are the QBs teams have moved up into the top-5 to acquire since 2005: Trey Lance, Sam Darnold, Mitch Trubisky, Jared Goff, Carson Wentz, Robert Griffin III and Mark Sanchez.
Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Depends, honestly. Let me explain:Grahamburn wrote: ↑Sat Mar 11, 2023 5:33 amInteresting. They got 2 firsts (and are still in the top 10), 2 seconds, and a young vet WR that would probably net at least a second if he were traded individually.MJW wrote: ↑Sat Mar 11, 2023 12:22 am Wow. I know there's no Trevor Lawrence level QB in this class, but to drop back that far six weeks before the draft, and to walk away with that little...this feels fairly dreadful for the Bears. Of course, all that will end up mattering is what each team does with their respective picks.
I think it’s a haul for the Bears.
In 2012, to move up from #6 to #2 (and draft RGIII), Washington traded three first rounders and a second to the Rams. Because he was seen as a franchise quarterback type.
In 2013, to move up from #12 to #3 (and draft Dion Jordan), Miami only send the Raiders a single 2nd round pick. He wasn't even a quarterback, and frankly, he wasn't an incredible prospect. It was just a historically shit year.
Something my dad used to say - "A thing is only worth what someone is willing to pay for it."
So it depends on how one feels about this quarterback class, I guess. If you believe your personal favorite QB is a franchise guy, that pick is worth a hell of a lot. If you think nobody in this class IS that guy, it's not worth as much.
IMHO, Bryce Young is an upper-echelon QB prospect. Not Trevor Lawrence or even Joe Burrow, but a hell of a lot better than, say, Kenny Pickett last year. So for Carolina to pay relatively little to go get him, it looks bad for the Bears. To me. If someone didn't feel that way about him (or Stroud, Richardson, etc), it looks like a pretty good return.
I will say this: I feel like Moore's value is diminished a little bit because he's coming off a mediocre year, and because while his contract isn't bad (I think 3-52 remaining), it's hardly a rookie deal. I'm not as bullish on him as most people in general. I think he's a #2 in a good offense. If I had to put a draft pick grade on him, probably an early 2nd?
Also, the Bears not getting Carolina's 2nd rounder - #39 - and settling for San Fran's - #61 - feels a little insulting. So here's how I break down this trade in my own mind:
Panthers Get: Great QB prospect. Not generational, but Great.
Bears Get:
- A pick that almost certainly falls outside of the top tier of prospects in this draft
- A Second Rounder That's Almost A 3rd Rounder
- A future first rounder from a team that should be favored to win the division IMHO.
- A future-future second rounder.
Frankly, I think they jumped the gun.
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Re: The Official 2023 NFL Off-Season Thread
Fair enough. I think I'm just seeing it more from the Bears' side. Less as "jumping the gun" and more a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
Yeah, they could have waited until draft day to try to get more, but they have significant cap space for free agency and it's important to know how you want to build your team right now versus waiting until May. And there's no guarantee they get more if they wait. They've certainly talked to all of these teams already. Combine is over. Teams have a good idea who they want and what they'll give to get them. This is the best deal on the table now. How much more is someone going to give up?
The Bears have their QB and they're going to be able to add significant assets around him for this upcoming season. DJ Moore is a nice piece on a really good contract. The 9th pick. Another second. Then plenty of ammo next year as well.
The Panthers will be favored to win the division with a rookie QB? What if that move was for Richardson? Really good chance that 2023 first is also a top 10 pick.
The argument people made about the Seattle/Denver deal was that it was great for Denver because they got their QB and the picks would be late. Well, the Hawks pick 5th.
Yeah, they could have waited until draft day to try to get more, but they have significant cap space for free agency and it's important to know how you want to build your team right now versus waiting until May. And there's no guarantee they get more if they wait. They've certainly talked to all of these teams already. Combine is over. Teams have a good idea who they want and what they'll give to get them. This is the best deal on the table now. How much more is someone going to give up?
The Bears have their QB and they're going to be able to add significant assets around him for this upcoming season. DJ Moore is a nice piece on a really good contract. The 9th pick. Another second. Then plenty of ammo next year as well.
The Panthers will be favored to win the division with a rookie QB? What if that move was for Richardson? Really good chance that 2023 first is also a top 10 pick.
The argument people made about the Seattle/Denver deal was that it was great for Denver because they got their QB and the picks would be late. Well, the Hawks pick 5th.